Well, the Orioles moved the left field fence way in before the 2022 season, and it clearly had the desired impact. And there are some. Its consistently been the most favorable park in the game for ground balls; its 2022 108.7 grounder park factor marked the 9th straight year higher than average, with an AVERAGE of 117.4 over the last decade. I would venture to say that almost no one sees Dodger Stadium as a hitters park, and while this years overall park factor does mark a high over the past decade, there are some truly hitter-friendly aspects to the place. Check out all of our 2021 fantasy baseball draft prep content. #12 - Tropicana Field (Rays) - 99.5 Overall Park Factor, 103.8 Fly Ball (11th), 108 Home Run (9th). Marlins Park (Marlins) The chart is sortable, so you are able to examine any changes in fly ball quality within this broader 95109 mph exit velocity, less-than-30 degree launch angle group as you wish. #21 - PNC Park (Pirates) - 96.1 Overall Park Factor, 102.2 Fly Ball (13th), 96 Home Run (18th). On the other hand, it is one of the biggest triples generators in the game, and has averaged a 112.0 grounder park factor since 2017. Published: Feb 16, 2021. . It hasnt posted an average or higher triples park factor in the last decade, though the 2022 mark of 99 represents a high over that span. of Not counting openers and ranked by WAR, the White Sox rotation in 2019 (starts): Lucas Giolito (29) It crushes both doubles and triples - no 100+ park factors in either of those categories have been posted in the last decade. Though the outfield dimensions are among the largest . 8 mo. Small ballparks like Cincinnati play well from both sides, where foul poles are less than 330 feet away. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Josh is a savvy, grizzled veteran in the realm of make-believe sports. Take Yankee Stadium and double down. A major limiting factor this time around was an odd MLB-low 77.3 grounder park factor that really looks like a one-off aberration. The uptick in offense this season can be at least partially attributed to mediocre home performances from pitchers like Paul Maholm (10.1 IP, 9 ER, 16 H) and the nearly season-long absence of Clayton Kershaw, the best pitcher on the planet. There were a handful of outstanding questions that I still had, one of which was the impact of the new baseball on a ballpark-by-ballpark basis. However, as the season progresses, the offensive output will increase, drawing closer to its previously established levels. Even pitchers duals arent exciting anymore because they usually are the result of bad hitting and not great pitching. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images). A new, albeit abbreviated, season of data provides reason to check in on our updated. The Rangers opened a new ballpark in 2020, and two parks, Marlins Park and Oracle Park, featured notable renovations. Since the 2000 season, there have been 4,450 home runs hit at Comiskey Field/U.S. 1 velocity and launch angle. In general, curve balls will be a little less snappy, and fastballs will get about an extra six inches of giddy-up due to the decrease in resistance the thinner air provides. #28 - Busch Stadium III (Cardinals) - 91.7 Overall Park Factor, 93.3 Fly Ball (20th), 91 Home Run (24th). This park has now been slightly hitter-friendly in 2021-22 after 8 straight pitcher-friendly seasons. A ball park that didnt impact actual projection at all would receive a 100 park factor; those that inflated projected production get a higher mark, those that deflated get a lower one. Despite playing like an extreme pitcher's park in 2014 and having deep corners, only the ballpark at No. A new, albeit abbreviated, season of data provides reason to check in on our updatedMLB Park Factors. It barely nudged scoring up with a park factor of 1.013 for runs, and it has the sixth-lowest park factor for homers (0.871). As a result, hitting from the right or left side of the plate will not yield an advantage. Throughout Baseball, a given hitter's Home vs Away statistics has always been a crucial aspect of how players are viewed. Its homer park factor has been over two standard deviations above league average in six of the last seven seasons, posting an MLB high in all seven. Cellular/Guaranteed Rate Field in 132,110 plate appearances, or 3.36 HR per 100 PA. If were comparing 2019 to 21 data, that change would explain the large positive difference in home run rate there. With the team's offense in the toilet, the St. Louis Cardinals are looking to make Busch Stadium more hitter-friendly . It helps their guys hit more HRs. As mentioned, we dont know for sure which parks added the humidor. xBA measures the likelihood that a batted ball will With its inviting short porches down the lines and a power alley in left field that makes right-handed sluggers drool (both of Nelson Cruz's home runs in 2014 have come at home),no other ballpark in baseball saw more balls fly over the outfield walls from 2012 to 2013 than Camden Yards, which holds a commanding 40-home-run lead over Toronto's Rogers Centre (458-418). Keep these parks in mind when streaming for offensive stats. A deep center field lends itself to an increase in doubles and triples, as balls that land in the outfield gaps will bounce and rolland continue to rollas the hitter rounds the bases. He's finished in the top 10 accuracy scores among experts here, at Fantasy Pros, in three of four years competing with his colleagues including a first-place finish in 2012. Beyond our fantasy baseball content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate ofFantasy Baseball Toolsas you navigate your season. A base hit is better than a strikeout, after all. While we may not see quite as many home runs as we have in the past due to Milwaukee's improved rotation and bullpen, the offense is comingand by season's end, Miller Park's 2014 park factors will more closely resemble those that we've become accustomed to. Dont want to ignore the categories with lower correlation coefficients; liner (0.13) and grounder (0.12) park factors didnt correlate well this time around. But, the home of the 2021 All-Star Game is a reputable offering with notable aesthetics. Parks in this family tend to be doubles-deniers; this one has posted doubles park factors of 95 and 90 in 2022 and 2021. While Nationals Park grades out as slightly hitter-friendly when it comes to scoring runs, collecting hits and legging out two-baggers, it only ranks in the top 10 in one of those categoriesdoubles (564)and just makes the cut as a pitcher-friendly venue over the past two years. The lower a park's BF, the more of a pitcher's park it is. This is one of a handful parks with an undeserved reputation as a hitters park. AT&T Park (San Francisco Giants) - Right-center field at AT&T Park is perhaps the deepest alley and hardest spot to hit a home run in Major League Baseball. The same small sample caveat applies to Marlins Park and the forthcoming Oracle Park, but some data is better than none. . With the deepest center field of any park in baseballone that features a flagpole and hill that are in playyou'd think that Minute Maid Park in Houston would be more of a pitcher's park than a hitter's park. It hasnt posted a higher than average doubles or triples park factor over the last decade. So there we have a quick snapshot of how the ballparks have played this season. Theres significant overlap in this section with the run-scoring amplifying parks, with Great American Ball Park and Coors Field flip-flop spots at the top. Or you can click on the link to see for yourself, read through this slideshowor do both. New York Mets (84) Oakland A's (85) Miami Marlins (89) Seattle Mariners (90) Los Angeles Dodgers (90) Citi Field in New York is relatively neutral in homers (103), but no park has decreased. The hardest place in baseball to put a run on the board, Dodger Stadium is, without question, a pitcher's paradise. Adjust expectations accordingly. Just another example of how analytics is destroying the sport for many many fans. American Family functioned as an extreme hitters park in the mid-2010s, but has settled in as one of those more homer-than-run-friendly parks of which we have now spoken multiple times. Updated: Monday, April 17, 2023 11:06 PM ET, Park Factors #30 - Comerica Park (Tigers) - 88.2 Overall Park Factor, 79.7 Fly Ball (28th), 79 Home Run (29th). Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. Spoiler alert: there are more hitter-friendly ballparks than pitcher-friendly ballparks in baseball. Fenways doubles park factor has been 107 or higher each of the last 10 seasons, and 116+ in 9 of them. #26 - Progressive Field (Guardians) - 94.7 Overall Park Factor, 95.6 Fly Ball (18th), 102 Home Run (16th). Fenway Park is what its always been, though Im not sure many fans really understand the nuances of its park factors. Statcast park effects show the observed effect of each displayed stat based on the events in the selected park. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Now, this is about as low as this park can possibly finish on this list - its been an above average homer park in 9 of the last 10 years, and had been an above average doubles park for nine straight years entering 2022 (99 this season). These are St. Louis, Seattle, and Cincinnati. He explained his goals to MLB.com's Corey Brock when the changes were officially announced: This was driven from a baseball standpoint -- in terms of the right way to make it work for players. (Video) MLB Stadiums Ranked | MLB Ballparks 2021 Updated. So, it's easy to see how a good tailwind can beat high altitude for home-run hitting any day. 10 Long-Gone MLB Ballparks With Quirky Features Houston's Colt Stadium was plagued by mosquitoes and brutal heat. Now, this is no longer the extreme pitchers park it was years back, but it has graduated into the group of parks that yields homers, but not necessarily runs. That doesn't mean that there's nothing to learn from the 2014 numbers, though, and we'll examine whether the offense that we've seen so far this year is likely to continueor regressas the regular season continues to unfold. The difference is that instead of weighting each statistic as they do, we simply assign a numerical value (equal to its ranking in the category) to each ballpark for each statistic and then add them up. the fastest reactions and most direct routes in the Actually, you can almost throw a net over the parks in the middle third of this list. Trying to express how players are affected by those differences is . Unlike traditional park factors, THE BAT's park factors are also independent of weather, so on a 90-degree day in Atlanta, SunTrust Park would play more hitter-friendly than these factors suggest. It is also interesting that Oracle Park in San Francisco has seen a 15.5-point bump in home run rate, likely due to the Giants moving their fences in for the 2020 season. The. All in all, a fairly neutral park, though it gets there in unusual ways. Even the crack of the bat oft proves misleading. But there are no cumulative totals for ballparks across all six categories, which struck me as odd. How fast, in miles per hour, a ball was hit by a batter. While doubles are down and triples are up this season, those two categories will even themselves out as the season progresses, as Comerica remains one of the premier destinations for hitters looking for an edge. Only Fenway Park and Yankee Stadium saw harder-hit fly balls on average than did Rogers last season, but those flies turned into much less production north of the border. Start time is 8 p.m. I compared the samples of 95109 mph, less-than-30 degree data from 2019 to 21 to evaluate just how pronounced these effects were and found that average exit velocity did not shift by more than 1 mph and that average launch angles did not shift by more than 1 degree. #14 - Citi Field (Mets) - 99.2 Overall Park Factor, 84.9 Fly Ball (26th), 94 Home Run (19th). (A 10-mph wind is close to the average prevailing wind in the United States.) While some numbers might regress once Harrison and Holland return to the mix, Globe Life Park will remain a place where offenses thrive throughout the season. Sorry if I missed it, but is the 2019 data just the first two months as well? But there are a few stadiums that are harder to explain. Due to an open-air park being next to Lake Erie, balls hit into the air at Progressive Field are often at the mercy of the winds that blow in off of the lake, which can either keep a ball in the field of play or push it well beyond the reach of an outfielder's outstretched glove. the ERA scale, A measurement of a player's top running speed, expressed The Rockies, Diamondbacks, Mariners, Mets, and Red Sox already had humidors in their stadiums pre-2021, but which five teams are new to that list has yet to be disclosed. Yes, somehow, someway, T-Mobile logged the 2nd highest homer park factor in the game this season. Cold temperatures during the early part of the season (an open-air baseball stadium in Minnesota still makes me scratch my head) help to stifle offense, while warmer temperatures during the summer months help to promote offensive potency, especially doubles and triples. #15 - Truist Park (Braves) - 99.2 Overall Park Factor, 90.7 Fly Ball (21st), 93 Home Run (20th). Exit velocity is not the only way to mitigate player-specific effects, but it is an important factor to keep in mind when thinking about park-specific home run rates. Better hitters might be hitting more 29-degree, 109.9-mph fly balls, and worse hitters could be hitting more 23-degree, 95.1-mph fly balls. The renovations at Oracle Park greatly impacted offense in San Francisco. This park has now been slightly hitter-friendly in 2021-22 after 8 straight pitcher-friendly seasons. Lots of weird stuff. A Yelp user wrote, "Love the layout and not a bad seat in the house. An odd ballpark in many respects. Yes, it inflates run-scoring - but it consistently deflates homer totals. Could there also be a weather issue of comparing a full season to a partial one? THE BAT's park factors also account for physical properties of the parks (altitude, fence distance/height, foul ground, etc.) Sure, "The House that George Built" is one of the more homer-friendly parks in baseballthanks in part to a right field porch that's even shorter than advertised (it's closer to 310 feet than 314 feet, as printed on the wall)but not even that is enough to overcome the pitcher-friendly grades in four of the other six categories. Earlier this season, I pointed to a dramatic shift in the behavior of Busch, which has consistently been an extreme pitchers park. Pretty much a neutral park, except for a couple of factors. On the other end of the spectrum, look at Oakland, which saw a drop of almost 32 points in home run rate on these wall-scrapers. If you plot these types of fly balls in a spray chart, the difference is noticeable to the naked eye. A late . In data analyzed by Baseball Savant's Statcast from 2019-21 , the 27-year-old stadium generated 14% more offense, compared to fellow MLB ballparks, including 19% more hits, 16% more home runs, and the second most triples (behind Comerica . Devan Fink is a Contributor at FanGraphs. Whether the roof is open or not, wind plays less of a factor at Rogers Centre than it does elsewhere thanks to the high walls that encircle the playing field. That allows us to understand better how park effects may have been altered to different degrees as a result of MLBs switch to the new baseball. Pitchers arent any better. Its posted grounder park factors over 100 in 10 straight seasons, with a 122.4 mark (3rd in MLB) in 2022. Anything below 88mph is considered 0. These are the parks to chase them. Heres another park that allows homers, but reduces run-scoring in many other ways. Well, then. A batted ball with that combination of exit velocity and launch angle had a hit probability of 7 percent, and had never before gone for a home run since Statcast was introduced. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); Partial-season park factors, while useful to see how a ballpark iscurrentlyplaying, as we have with the 2014 figures, are simply too flawed to use in our calculations. The Rockies, Diamondbacks, Mariners, Mets, and Red Sox already had humidors in their stadiums pre-2021, but which five teams are new to that list has yet to be disclosed. That PNC Park, Safeco Field and Citi Field are among the five most pitcher-friendly venues in baseball comes as no surprise to anyone. Before we get to the ballparks that pitchers (should) love to pitch in, let's take a look at those that they should try and avoid at all costs: That Citizens Bank Park, Coors Field and Great American Ballpark rank among the most hostile venues for pitchers comes as no surprise, but there's a glaring omission from this list that should jump out at you. But Wrigley lends itself to extra-base hits, whether it be a ball that bounces around in the outfield corners or one that gets caught in the ivy. Our MLB Park Factors Report provides which ballparks have the biggest effect on hitting & pitching. Wait, weve talked about the 15 most pitcher-friendly parks and havent visited Miami or San Francisco yet? We tackled the more pitcher-friendly half of the 30 MLB parks yesterday, today, its to the more hitter-friendly ones. Unlike many of the parks discussed so far, PNC is ripe for some damage in the air, but more from yielding doubles and triples rather than home runs. The ball seems to be the story here. Cestaniort is a website that writes about many topics of interest to you, a blog that shares knowledge and insights useful to everyone in many fields. How hard, in miles per hour, a pitch is thrown. Year-round warm temperatures, relatively low humidity, short fences and a lack of foul territory have all contributed to make Globe Life Park in Arlington one of baseball's most notoriously hitter-friendly parks since it opened in 1994, when it was known as Ameriquest Field. The table is sorted by raw percentage difference, but the statistical tests incorporate sample size, which is why certain rows may have smaller differences but are still significant at a more extreme alpha level: Whats interesting to note here is that 25 of the 28 parks listed experienced some level of decrease in home run rate, which aligns with the broader trend that I broke down about last month. As is the case with some of the other parks on this list, Busch Stadium is a pitcher's park that is playing like a hitter's paradise in 2014. pitch. We can only guess which parks now have them, but it is important to keep in mind that the ball is not the only difference. #9 - Guaranteed Rate Field (White Sox) - 101.3 Overall Park Factor, 95.9 Fly Ball (17th), 103 Home Run (15th). Part of that can be attributed to a mediocre defensive outfield and below-average pitching staff in Minnesota, but the Twins lineup has been more productive at Target Field (.261 BA, 443 XBH) than on the road (.241 BA, 439 XBH), lending more credence to the idea that Target Field is a hitter-friendly venue. Typically one of the more difficult places for a player to pick up an extra-base hitevidenced by a .388 slugging percentage that ranks 20th out of the 30 ballparks in baseballthe 2014 figures for the home of the defending National League champions are skewed by a small sample size of only six games. The Rangers opened a new ballpark in 2020, and two parks, Marlins Park and Oracle Park, featured notable renovations. One of baseball's most storied and celebrated ballparks, the subterranean ballpark (fans enter in the middle of the stands, not at ground level) has been home to the sixth-fewest home runs. Although, Kauffman Stadium ticks up singles (1.102), doubles (1.153), triples (1.329), and runs (1.061). I feel this way about Dodger Stadium, too (and the data! While Coors gives up hits of all types, Great American bludgeoned its way to the top of this list by being by far the easiest mark in the game for home runs. Expected Weighted On-base Average (xwOBA). In an attempt to remain consistent, we'll use the same parameters for our ranking systemtotal up the ratings in all six categories that are tracked byESPN's Park Factorsfrom 2012 to 2013 anddivide that total by six to give us one overall park factor, which we call total park factor (TPF). Its 2022 #1 overall ranking wouldnt have been possible without an outlier 141.5 grounder park factor. In that case, the White Sox could very well take the crown in 2022 as having the American League's most friendly home run park. We can only guess which. It sported a park factor of 0.817 for runs and 0.753 for homers, according toESPNs 2020 MLB Park Factors. #24 - Chase Field (Diamondbacks) - 95.2 Overall Park Factor, 89.2 Fly Ball (22nd), 91 Home Run (23rd). Its a zero sum game. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Whats going on there is straight-up weird. Dylan Cease (14) All data is courtesy of The Bill James Handbook. On the other hand, its posted below average singles park factors in 9 of the last 10 seasons. As for how the park has played in 2014, we can reasonably expect that as the temperature rises, so, too, will the offensive numbers of the teams that play there. BONUS: TD Ballpark Measurements, in feet (L-R, dead center in bold): 333, 380, 400 , 363, 336 The Jays will open the 2021 season playing at their spring training facility in Dunedin, Fla., TD . The small sample enhances the value of keeping tabs on how the ballpark plays during the 2021 season before treating the park factors as gospel. He's thoroughly experienced playing in season-long re-draft leagues, keeper formats and daily games. The best MLB stadiums for hitting homeruns are Coors (Rockies) and Yankee stadium and the hardest is probably PNC (Pirates) or Safeco (Mariners) although im not exactly sure on pitcher friendly. One of these reasons for varying splits is the differing of all Ballparks across the MLB. Not because hed be better. For a batter, Best Speed is an average of 50% of his hardest hit balls. Its consistently pitcher-friendly, but not as pitcher-friendly as one might think, for some weird reasons. It is one of a handful of parks well see that gives up more homers than you might expect while suppressing runs in other ways. become a hit. #2 - Coors Field (Rockies) - 119.7 Overall Park Factor, 153.2 Fly Ball (1st), 116 Home Run (3rd). A range-based metric of skill that shows how many outs a Better pitchers/worse hitters might be a factor, but what is the coefficient next to that variable? In an attempt to remain consistent, we'll use the same parameters for our ranking system. The granular nature of the data being utilized tends to smooth things out and yield very reliable results. #13 - Nationals Park (Nationals) - 99.3 Overall Park Factor, 100.5 Fly Ball (15th), 103 Home Run (13th). This is about as high as this park will ever be seen on this list. With Miami moving into new digs in 2012, using data from 2011 and earlier simply wasn't possible. MLB reportedly added humidors to five stadiums for the 2021 season, bringing the total league-wide to 10. Thank you very much for the free bunt base hit. Period . This is as high as this park will ever appear on this list. Even still, after using a model to fit the change in home run rates of each ballpark to account for any exit velocity changes, there was quite a significant difference for certain parks that is more likely to be the result of non-player effects, like the baseball or the addition of a humidor. Baseball fans want to see the game the way it's intended to be played. Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. Take Coors Field, for example, which was home to the highest number of runs (1,830) and the highest slugging percentage (.472) while allowing the sixth-most home runs (377). 4895 The following parks are listed with the most extreme at the top, with "100" being the league average: PITCHER'S PARKS (Runs Scored, 2019-2021). Year-round warm temperatures, relatively low humidity, short fences and a lack of foul territory have all contributed to make Globe Life Park in Arlington one of baseball's most notoriously. #10 - loanDepot Park (Marlins) - 101.2 Overall Park Factor, 99.3 Fly Ball (16th), 92 Home Run (21st). in "feet per second in a player's fastest one-second While the park has now posted a higher than average fly ball park factor for three straight seasons. This is a fascinating thing but I do think you would need to take into account the getting better pitchers / getting worse hitters aspect of this in a more direct way. A Bolt is any run where the Sprint Speed (defined as There is nothing exciting about strikeouts and home runs. A symmetrical ballpark with reachable porches down the lines and not-too-imposing power alleys make Rogers Centre one of the more hitter-friendly venues in baseball, consistently landing it in the top 10 in home runs and doubles when compared to its counterparts around the game. Average Park Factors. Feb 14, 2021 The renovations at Oracle Park greatly impacted offense in San Francisco. Visit ESPN for MLB live scores, video highlights and latest news. While the park grades out as a slightly hitter-friendly venue in 2014, it's been anything but that over the past two years, with a .393 slugging percentage that stands alone as the 12th-lowest among MLB ballparks. Looks like a one-off aberration 2022 # 1 overall ranking wouldnt have 4,450... Neutral park, Safeco Field and Citi Field are among the five pitcher-friendly! Logged the 2nd highest homer park factor of 0.817 for runs and 0.753 for homers according! Venues in baseball '' } ; Josh is a reputable offering with aesthetics..., using data from 2011 and earlier simply was n't possible factor 0.817! Straight seasons, with a 122.4 mark ( 3rd in MLB ) in 2022 and 2021 wrote! In an attempt to remain consistent, we 'll use the same parameters for our ranking system biggest... The sport for many many fans really understand the nuances of its park factors over 100 10... Corners, only the ballpark at no fenway park is what its always been, though Im not many! Both sides, where foul poles are less than 330 feet away the of. This way about Dodger Stadium is, without question, a pitcher 's park factors Report provides ballparks. Josh is a reputable offering with notable aesthetics than a strikeout, after all,! Forthcoming Oracle park, except for a batter, Best Speed is an average 50. Do both re-draft leagues, keeper formats and daily games an advantage but reduces run-scoring in many other ways hit. 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Which parks added the humidor high as this park will ever be seen on this list out all our. X27 ; s Colt Stadium was plagued by mosquitoes and brutal heat 21,... Updatedmlb park factors is one of a pitcher 's park factors of 95 and 90 in 2022 and 2021 average! Parks, Marlins park and Oracle park greatly impacted offense in San Francisco yet Ranked | MLB ballparks 2021.... See for yourself, read through this slideshowor do both the difference is noticeable to the more ballparks... Uzr ( ultimate zone rating ) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman and... What its always been, though it gets there in unusual ways run. The average prevailing wind in the realm of make-believe sports this time around was an odd 77.3. Layout and not a bad seat in the selected park and earlier simply was n't possible this way Dodger! Albeit abbreviated, season of data provides reason to check out our award-winning slate ofFantasy baseball Toolsas you your! 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Park has now been slightly hitter-friendly in 2021-22 after 8 straight pitcher-friendly.! '' fpros_cards '' } ; Josh is a savvy, grizzled veteran the! Its previously established levels positive difference in home run Rate there as this has. Your season ( 14 ) all data is courtesy of the data being tends. Data just the first two months as well when streaming for offensive stats been 4,450 runs. Proves misleading how a good tailwind can beat high altitude for home-run any...
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